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Dynamic Flood Inundation Forecast for the City of Kulmbach Using Offline Two-Dimensional Hydrodynamic Models

8 pagesPublished: September 20, 2018

Abstract

The paper presents a new methodology for hydrodynamic-based flood forecast focusing on sce- nario generation and database queries to select the appropriate flood inundation map in real-time. In operational flood forecasting, discharges are forecast at specific gauges using hydrological models. The water levels are obtained from a rating curve designed for each respective gauge. Particularly for higher discharges when the flow over-spills the side banks, these curves are highly uncertain. Hy- drodynamic models are then required to produce realistic inundation maps and water levels. Hydro- dynamic models are computationally expensive and therefore not feasible for real-time forecasting. Alternatively, pre-calculated inundation maps can be stored in a database which contains a substantial number of scenarios, and used for extracting the most likely map in real-time. This study investigates the application of offline inundation forecast in the city Kulmbach in Germany.

Keyphrases: database, flood forecast, flood inundation map, hydrodynamic models

In: Goffredo La Loggia, Gabriele Freni, Valeria Puleo and Mauro De Marchis (editors). HIC 2018. 13th International Conference on Hydroinformatics, vol 3, pages 258-265.

BibTeX entry
@inproceedings{HIC2018:Dynamic_Flood_Inundation_Forecast,
  author    = {Punit Bhola and Jorge Leandro and Iris Konnerth and Kanwal Amin and Markus Disse},
  title     = {Dynamic Flood Inundation Forecast for the City of Kulmbach Using Offline Two-Dimensional Hydrodynamic Models},
  booktitle = {HIC 2018. 13th International Conference on Hydroinformatics},
  editor    = {Goffredo La Loggia and Gabriele Freni and Valeria Puleo and Mauro De Marchis},
  series    = {EPiC Series in Engineering},
  volume    = {3},
  publisher = {EasyChair},
  bibsource = {EasyChair, https://easychair.org},
  issn      = {2516-2330},
  url       = {/publications/paper/16PC},
  doi       = {10.29007/c4gq},
  pages     = {258-265},
  year      = {2018}}
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